Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Asterloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Aster
Lichsignature
LaNm · 11 games
Windranger
BoBoKa · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
Xxs · 10 games
Storm Spiritsignature
White丶Album · 10 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 9 games
Chensignature
LaNm · 8 games
Linasignature
White丶Album · 8 games
Lunaoften banned
Monet · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
376 picks · 546 bans
Bane
347 picks · 263 bans
Snapfire
338 picks · 208 bans
Weaver
329 picks · 714 bans
Monkey King
252 picks · 757 bans
Tidehunter
240 picks · 382 bans
Disruptor
239 picks · 156 bans
Io
239 picks · 568 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% Team Aster
Head-to-head5 – 6
Model total66% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed1:23
Invictus Gaming 66%Team Aster 34%
The model gave 66% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Aster in 21:44.
Game 2prediction missed31:9
Invictus Gaming 66%Team Aster 34%
The model gave 66% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Aster in 38:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 66%
Accuracy by game0 of 2