Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Bane
Dy · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Paparazi · 5 games
Ursaoften banned
Another · 5 games
Earthshaker
Pyw · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
Dy · 4 games
Linaoften banned
Paparazi · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Srf · 4 games
Shadow Shaman
Pyw · 4 games
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
376 picks · 545 bans
Bane
347 picks · 263 bans
Snapfire
340 picks · 208 bans
Weaver
330 picks · 714 bans
Monkey King
252 picks · 758 bans
Tidehunter
240 picks · 382 bans
Disruptor
239 picks · 155 bans
Io
238 picks · 570 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 59%
Hero pool strength62% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total53% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:14
Xtreme Gaming 53%Team MagMa 47%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 42:11.
Game 2prediction correct26:18
Xtreme Gaming 53%Team MagMa 47%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 39:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 53%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2