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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO1
result vs prediction
V-Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Brameloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
61%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 31 game
61%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
65%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 26 games
77%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 24 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Malady · 22 games
59%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 22 games
68%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 21 game
62%

Brame

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 16 games
69%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 16 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
54%
Luna
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 13 games
69%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
SkyLark · 12 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
375 picks · 545 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
345 picks · 262 bans
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
338 picks · 207 bans
46%
Weaver
Weaver
328 picks · 714 bans
57%
Monkey King
Monkey King
251 picks · 755 bans
56%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
241 picks · 384 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
239 picks · 153 bans
51%
Io
Io
235 picks · 569 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total57% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:21
V-Gaming 55%Brame 45%
The model gave 55% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 42:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingTA2000
55% · 205 games49% · 204 games
LunaNefrit
Luna
Lina
LinahAze
49% · 196 games50% · 162 games
Queen of PainW1sh-
Queen of Pain
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyerlaise
53% · 106 games58% · 39 games
BroodmotherSkyLark
Broodmother
Dark Willow
Dark WillowArrOw
42% · 146 games53% · 225 games
WeaverSsaSpartan
Weaver
Bane
Baneantoha
56% · 217 games41% · 240 games
SnapfireCTOMAHEH1
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 57%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1