Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 16 games
Tidehuntersignature
ELeVeN · 15 games
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 14 games
Lion
Pyw · 12 games
Weaversignature
Pyw · 12 games
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 11 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 11 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
poyoyo · 11 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
373 picks · 545 bans
Bane
344 picks · 262 bans
Snapfire
338 picks · 207 bans
Weaver
328 picks · 712 bans
Monkey King
251 picks · 754 bans
Tidehunter
241 picks · 384 bans
Disruptor
239 picks · 153 bans
Io
235 picks · 569 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head6 – 0
Model total54% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:19
Vici Gaming 54%Royal Never Give Up 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 34:09.
Game 2prediction missed12:24
Vici Gaming 54%Royal Never Give Up 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 31:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 54%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2