Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
iG Vitalityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
iG Vitality
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Clinkz
ukiyo · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 4 games
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 3 games
Slarkoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Windranger
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
373 picks · 545 bans
Bane
342 picks · 263 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 207 bans
Weaver
327 picks · 714 bans
Monkey King
251 picks · 754 bans
Tidehunter
243 picks · 383 bans
Disruptor
242 picks · 153 bans
Io
235 picks · 566 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:12
Invictus Gaming 89%iG Vitality 11%
The model gave 89% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 35:08.
Game 2prediction missed29:9
Invictus Gaming 89%iG Vitality 11%
The model gave 89% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 25:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 89%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2