Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Lion
NARMAN · 19 games
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Tims · 16 games
Nature's Prophet
Skem · 15 games
Dark Seersignature
Enryu · 14 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Unknown- · 14 games
Mirana
NARMAN · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
Enryu · 12 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
373 picks · 543 bans
Bane
339 picks · 261 bans
Snapfire
338 picks · 207 bans
Weaver
320 picks · 715 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 751 bans
Tidehunter
244 picks · 384 bans
Disruptor
238 picks · 153 bans
Io
235 picks · 559 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:43
Neon Esports 21%Invictus Gaming 79%
The model gave 79% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 38:43.
Game 2prediction correct33:46
Neon Esports 21%Invictus Gaming 79%
The model gave 79% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 41:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 79%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2