Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V-Gaming
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 31 game
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 25 games
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 24 games
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 21 game
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 21 game
Batridersignature
hAze · 19 games
Brame
Marsoften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 12 games
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 11 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
Pucksignature
W1sh- · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
368 picks · 548 bans
Bane
334 picks · 257 bans
Snapfire
332 picks · 204 bans
Weaver
316 picks · 711 bans
Monkey King
252 picks · 759 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 385 bans
Disruptor
236 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
236 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total59% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:26
V-Gaming 54%Brame 46%
The model gave 54% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Brame in 27:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautTA2000
LunaNefrit
Queen of PainhAze
InvokerW1sh-
Marslaise
ViperSkyLark
Monkey KingArrOw
SilencerSsaSpartan
Snapfireantoha
Earth SpiritCTOMAHEH1
Game 2prediction missed15:32
V-Gaming 52%Brame 48%
The model gave 52% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Brame in 33:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaTA2000
Templar AssassinW1sh-
PuckhAze
KunkkaNefrit
Slardarlaise
Dark SeerSkyLark
RubickArrOw
Outworld DestroyerCTOMAHEH1
Oracleantoha
SilencerSsaSpartan
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 59%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2