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CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Pipsqueak+4loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 47 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 42 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 39 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 36 games
69%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
slimeyao · 35 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 35 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 34 games
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 34 games
50%

Pipsqueak+4

Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 47 games
43%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 42 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 42 games
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 34 games
47%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Nande · 32 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 31 game
48%
Tusk
Tusk
Ekki · 31 game
58%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 30 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
616 picks · 960 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
517 picks · 423 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 624 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
434 picks · 974 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 465 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
419 picks · 516 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
418 picks · 256 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 536 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total52% Pipsqueak+4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:14
HULIGANI 48%Pipsqueak+4 52%
The model gave 52% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 31:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterv1olent-
47% · 239 games56% · 221 game
Shadow FiendDarkLord^
Shadow Fiend
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMirage
51% · 239 games43% · 79 games
SniperCopy
Sniper
Underlord
UnderlordBb3px
46% · 122 games45% · 277 games
SlardarPalantimos
Slardar
Jakiro
Jakiroslimeyao
53% · 374 games49% · 143 games
Undyingaik
Undying
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorRESPECT
59% · 73 games52% · 327 games
Shadow ShamanEkki
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct
HULIGANI 48%Pipsqueak+4 52%
The model gave 52% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4.
Game 3prediction missed32:11
HULIGANI 49%Pipsqueak+4 51%
The model gave 51% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 39:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
Razorv1olent-
51% · 122 games53% · 473 games
PuckCopy
Puck
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMirage
47% · 467 games49% · 104 games
KezDarkLord^
Kez
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
56% · 396 games54% · 197 games
UnderlordPalantimos
Underlord
Disruptor
DisruptorRESPECT
49% · 320 games43% · 213 games
MuertaEkki
Muerta
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonslimeyao
51% · 338 games47% · 656 games
Jakiroaik
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoritePipsqueak+4 · 52%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3