Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
King Of Kingswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
369 picks · 539 bans
Bane
331 picks · 254 bans
Snapfire
326 picks · 201 bans
Weaver
313 picks · 696 bans
Monkey King
257 picks · 750 bans
Tidehunter
246 picks · 388 bans
Disruptor
237 picks · 151 bans
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% King Of Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:16
SG e-sports 40%King Of Kings 60%
The model gave 60% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 37:36.
Game 2prediction correct11:33
SG e-sports 40%King Of Kings 60%
The model gave 60% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 30:04.
Game 3prediction correct17:38
SG e-sports 40%King Of Kings 60%
The model gave 60% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 50:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteKing Of Kings · 60%
Series resultKing Of Kings 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3