Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 9 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 7 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 6 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 6 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Tinysignature
Michael · 6 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
368 picks · 538 bans
Bane
331 picks · 254 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 201 bans
Weaver
312 picks · 695 bans
Monkey King
255 picks · 750 bans
Tidehunter
246 picks · 388 bans
Disruptor
237 picks · 151 bans
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 41%
Hero pool strength58% Infamous
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total66% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:20
Infamous 66%Hokori 34%
The model gave 66% on Infamous — the game was taken by Hokori in 41:17.
Game 2prediction missed20:27
Infamous 66%Hokori 34%
The model gave 66% on Infamous — the game was taken by Hokori in 35:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 66%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2