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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quincy Crew

No games played over 6 months.

Wildcard Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
50%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
iAnnihilate · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Sunlight · 1 game
0%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 531 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
329 picks · 250 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
322 picks · 197 bans
46%
Weaver
Weaver
309 picks · 690 bans
55%
Monkey King
Monkey King
260 picks · 751 bans
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
245 picks · 392 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
236 picks · 151 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
231 picks · 322 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:14
Quincy Crew 67%Wildcard Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 35:26.
Game 2prediction missed10:35
Quincy Crew 67%Wildcard Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 27:15.
Game 3prediction missed50:13
Quincy Crew 67%Wildcard Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 30:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 67%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3