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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
61%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 33 games
61%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
65%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 24 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Malady · 22 games
59%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 21 game
67%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 20 games
65%

Nemiga Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 30 games
37%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 29 games
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 21 game
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Heaven · 20 games
45%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 20 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 20 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Lodine · 17 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ainkrad · 17 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 531 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
328 picks · 249 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
322 picks · 197 bans
46%
Weaver
Weaver
309 picks · 688 bans
55%
Monkey King
Monkey King
259 picks · 750 bans
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
245 picks · 392 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
236 picks · 151 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
231 picks · 322 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 39%
Hero pool strength57% V-Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total67% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:31
V-Gaming 59%Nemiga Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 24:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
51% · 82 games42% · 92 games
Phantom AssassinKiritych
Phantom Assassin
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerhAze
52% · 124 games56% · 115 games
BeastmasterAinkrad
Beastmaster
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyerlaise
45% · 65 games52% · 60 games
Night StalkerTheChosenOne
Night Stalker
Enchantress
Enchantressantoha
45% · 169 games52% · 162 games
MiranaHeaven
Mirana
Clockwerk
Clockwerkb1kA
54% · 92 games52% · 103 games
BaneVANSKOR
Bane
Game 2prediction missed17:27
V-Gaming 60%Nemiga Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 29:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainhAze
50% · 107 games49% · 74 games
Outworld DestroyerAinkrad
Outworld Destroyer
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMirage
49% · 235 games45% · 125 games
MorphlingKiritych
Morphling
Dark Willow
Dark Willowb1kA
48% · 103 games47% · 128 games
Dragon KnightTheChosenOne
Dragon Knight
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinantoha
56% · 213 games57% · 193 games
Monkey KingHeaven
Monkey King
47% · 138 games
AbaddonVANSKOR
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 67%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2