DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Snapfire
Daze · 31 game
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 26 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 23 games
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 23 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 22 games
Axeoften banned
Force · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 20 games
Marssignature
Force · 20 games
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 30 games
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 27 games
Puckoften banned
Emo · 26 games
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 22 games
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 20 games
Leshrac
Moon · 19 games
Marsoften banned
zeal · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
616 picks · 956 bans
Tusk
518 picks · 422 bans
Centaur Warrunner
456 picks · 627 bans
Shadow Demon
434 picks · 971 bans
Dragon Knight
418 picks · 522 bans
Tiny
416 picks · 463 bans
Warlock
413 picks · 253 bans
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 659 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 37%
Hero pool strength53% OG
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total92% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:9
OG 76%Yakult Brothers 24%
The model gave 76% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 26:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendNatsumi
Kezflyfly
BristlebackForce
UnderlordYang
Void SpiritYopaj
TinyMoon
Skywrath MageTims
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
ClockwerkSkem
Jakiro天命
Game 2prediction correct27:10
OG 78%Yakult Brothers 22%
The model gave 78% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 23:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ClinkzNatsumi
Kezflyfly
MarsYopaj
TinyMoon
BristlebackForce
TimbersawYang
JakiroSkem
LargoBoBoKa
BatriderTims
Disruptor天命
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 92%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2