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EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:1
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 42 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 36 games
64%
Chen
Chen
Hduo · 29 games
59%
Windranger
Windranger
Immersion · 27 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 26 games
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 26 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 24 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Immersion · 21 game
62%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
39%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 22 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 21 game
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 19 games
42%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 19 games
53%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 17 games
47%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 16 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
494 picks · 355 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
381 picks · 227 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 641 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
337 picks · 343 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
315 picks · 230 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
302 picks · 292 bans
61%
Pangolier
Pangolier
293 picks · 397 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
286 picks · 423 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 36%
Hero pool strength54% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:16
Power Rangers 62%Nemiga Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 33:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
47% · 134 games49% · 186 games
Ember Spirityoung G
Ember Spirit
Lifestealer
Lifestealerbashka
41% · 104 games52% · 51 game
Faceless Voidbyun
Faceless Void
Largo
LargoAlberkaaa
58% · 178 games49% · 124 games
AxeCovisnine
Axe
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorHduo
55% · 29 games49% · 56 games
Techiesariel
Techies
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanImmersion
53% · 166 games48% · 194 games
PhoenixJANTER
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed19:35
Power Rangers 60%Nemiga Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 32:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
51% · 382 games46% · 192 games
Windrangerbyun
Windranger
Lina
Linabashka
57% · 31 game46% · 135 games
LargoCovisnine
Largo
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
50% · 117 games53% · 264 games
Storm Spirityoung G
Storm Spirit
Bane
BaneHduo
58% · 287 games49% · 395 games
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Muerta
MuertaImmersion
44% · 243 games49% · 74 games
LichJANTER
Lich
Game 3prediction correct28:7
Power Rangers 59%Nemiga Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 25:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladebashka
43% · 124 games46% · 70 games
Necrophosyoung G
Necrophos
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
50% · 255 games47% · 214 games
Windrangerbyun
Windranger
Undying
UndyingAlberkaaa
55% · 118 games53% · 139 games
LargoCovisnine
Largo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightImmersion
56% · 124 games45% · 346 games
Snapfireariel
Snapfire
Bane
BaneHduo
54% · 185 games50% · 37 games
Witch DoctorJANTER
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 68%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3