Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Shenzhenwin 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ybb Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Shenzhen
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
362 picks · 531 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 193 bans
Bane
316 picks · 249 bans
Weaver
301 picks · 679 bans
Monkey King
262 picks · 755 bans
Tidehunter
250 picks · 401 bans
Disruptor
232 picks · 150 bans
Ember Spirit
230 picks · 318 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Shenzhen
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:25
Shenzhen 41%Ybb Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 37:26.
Game 2prediction correct16:23
Shenzhen 41%Ybb Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 31:43.
Game 3prediction correct32:32
Shenzhen 41%Ybb Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 51:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 59%
Series resultShenzhen 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3