Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Our Waywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unknown
Hoodwink
Wij · 13 games
Kunkkasignature
Robo-Z · 8 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Prada · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 7 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Pakazs · 7 games
Viperoften banned
Prada · 7 games
Clockwerk
Prada · 6 games
Lion
Wij · 6 games
Our Way
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
362 picks · 528 bans
Snapfire
320 picks · 192 bans
Bane
313 picks · 249 bans
Weaver
301 picks · 675 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 754 bans
Tidehunter
249 picks · 401 bans
Disruptor
231 picks · 150 bans
Ember Spirit
230 picks · 315 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Our Way
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Our Way
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Unknown 42%Our Way 58%
The model gave 58% on Our Way — the game was taken by Our Way.
Game 2prediction correct9:28
Team Unknown 42%Our Way 58%
The model gave 58% on Our Way — the game was taken by Our Way in 23:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteOur Way · 58%
Series resultOur Way 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2