Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Gorillaz-Pridewin 2:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Our Wayloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gorillaz-Pride
Marsoften banned
Cara · 3 games
Disruptor
Genek · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
TaO · 2 games
Snapfire
d1smar · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
NaoG · 2 games
Bane
Genek · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
TaO · 1 game
Linaoften banned
TaO · 1 game
Our Way
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
346 picks · 503 bans
Snapfire
307 picks · 172 bans
Bane
295 picks · 236 bans
Weaver
284 picks · 637 bans
Monkey King
256 picks · 730 bans
Tidehunter
256 picks · 393 bans
Ember Spirit
228 picks · 309 bans
Disruptor
221 picks · 142 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Our Way
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:25
Gorillaz-Pride 40%Our Way 60%
The model gave 60% on Our Way — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 39:30.
Game 2prediction correct26:32
Gorillaz-Pride 40%Our Way 60%
The model gave 60% on Our Way — the game was taken by Our Way in 35:07.
Game 3prediction missed33:13
Gorillaz-Pride 40%Our Way 60%
The model gave 60% on Our Way — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 31:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteOur Way · 60%
Series resultGorillaz-Pride 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3