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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CHILLAXloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Lina
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Weaver
Weaversignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
62%
Luna
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 11 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 11 games
64%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 10 games
50%
Bane
Banesignature
SsaSpartan · 9 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddon
SsaSpartan · 8 games
50%

CHILLAX

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
344 picks · 499 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
303 picks · 171 bans
47%
Bane
Bane
292 picks · 231 bans
58%
Weaver
Weaver
280 picks · 633 bans
58%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
256 picks · 391 bans
45%
Monkey King
Monkey King
255 picks · 728 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
225 picks · 306 bans
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
221 picks · 140 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 62%
Hero pool strength57% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:29
Brame 61%CHILLAX 39%
The model gave 61% on Brame — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 36:38.
Game 2prediction correct44:17
Brame 61%CHILLAX 39%
The model gave 61% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 38:29.
Game 3prediction correct31:14
Brame 61%CHILLAX 39%
The model gave 61% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 33:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 61%
Series resultBrame 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3