Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectsloss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V-Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
V-Gaming
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 34 games
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 25 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 24 games
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 23 games
Disruptor
Malady · 22 games
Marssignature
laise · 20 games
Batridersignature
hAze · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
345 picks · 497 bans
Snapfire
303 picks · 169 bans
Bane
291 picks · 230 bans
Weaver
279 picks · 631 bans
Tidehunter
255 picks · 392 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 726 bans
Ember Spirit
225 picks · 308 bans
Disruptor
222 picks · 139 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)83% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:8
CIS Rejects 54%V-Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 36:09.
Game 2prediction missed26:25
CIS Rejects 54%V-Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 47:23.
Game 3prediction missed20:26
CIS Rejects 54%V-Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 35:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 54%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3