Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
CDEC Gamingloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CDEC Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
337 picks · 482 bans
Snapfire
291 picks · 167 bans
Bane
280 picks · 219 bans
Weaver
275 picks · 602 bans
Tidehunter
257 picks · 394 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 717 bans
Ember Spirit
221 picks · 305 bans
Disruptor
216 picks · 135 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 73%
Hero pool strength50% CDEC Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:20
CDEC Gaming 31%Ybb Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 39:42.
Game 2prediction correct20:27
CDEC Gaming 31%Ybb Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 40:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 69%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2