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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachloss 1:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Chicken Fighterswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Peksu · 10 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Era · 10 games
70%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Charlie · 9 games
56%
Lion
Lion
Era · 8 games
50%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Charlie · 8 games
63%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Charlie · 7 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Peksu · 6 games
83%
Lina
Linasignature
Era · 6 games
67%

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
332 picks · 475 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
281 picks · 163 bans
47%
Bane
Bane
277 picks · 215 bans
59%
Weaver
Weaver
267 picks · 592 bans
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
256 picks · 393 bans
45%
Monkey King
Monkey King
255 picks · 711 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
219 picks · 301 bans
57%
Lion
Lion
214 picks · 100 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 78%
Hero pool strength55% Into The Breach
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total63% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:42
Into The Breach 37%Chicken Fighters 63%
The model gave 63% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 39:52.
Game 2prediction missed20:37
Into The Breach 37%Chicken Fighters 63%
The model gave 63% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 42:06.
Game 3prediction missed26:9
Into The Breach 37%Chicken Fighters 63%
The model gave 63% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 29:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 63%
Series resultChicken Fighters 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3