Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
King Of Kingswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Marssignature
Oscar · 20 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 20 games
Abaddon
Panda · 17 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 17 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 14 games
Lion
Matthew · 14 games
Timbersawoften banned
Oscar · 13 games
Hoodwink
Matthew · 12 games
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
328 picks · 475 bans
Snapfire
277 picks · 158 bans
Bane
276 picks · 212 bans
Weaver
267 picks · 582 bans
Tidehunter
259 picks · 391 bans
Monkey King
252 picks · 711 bans
Ember Spirit
217 picks · 299 bans
Disruptor
214 picks · 140 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:31
NoPing VPN 55%King Of Kings 45%
The model gave 55% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 49:46.
Game 2prediction missed28:34
NoPing VPN 55%King Of Kings 45%
The model gave 55% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 37:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 55%
Series resultKing Of Kings 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2