Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SG e-sportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 8 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 7 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 6 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 6 games
Tinysignature
Michael · 6 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Weaveroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
327 picks · 472 bans
Bane
282 picks · 215 bans
Snapfire
276 picks · 154 bans
Weaver
262 picks · 577 bans
Tidehunter
261 picks · 396 bans
Monkey King
259 picks · 705 bans
Ember Spirit
218 picks · 300 bans
Lion
214 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 25%
Hero pool strength56% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total67% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:48
Infamous 67%SG e-sports 33%
The model gave 67% on Infamous — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 39:01.
Game 2prediction missed23:28
Infamous 67%SG e-sports 33%
The model gave 67% on Infamous — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 40:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 67%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2