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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Malady · 23 games
91%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
80%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 19 games
74%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 18 games
83%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Saksa · 14 games
86%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Saksa · 13 games
85%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 35 games
51%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 23 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 21 game
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 19 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
not me · 16 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 15 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
not me · 14 games
71%
Techies
Techies
not me · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
521 picks · 314 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
442 picks · 213 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
390 picks · 177 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
339 picks · 307 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 506 bans
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
303 picks · 294 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
283 picks · 511 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
278 picks · 135 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 71%
Hero pool strength58% Team Yandex
Head-to-head8 – 4
Model total58% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct50:15
Team Yandex 55%Team Spirit 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 50:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenWatson
48% · 70 games53% · 18 games
Outworld DestroyerYatoro
Outworld Destroyer
Necrophos
NecrophosATF
47% · 83 games53% · 137 games
LargoBatyuk
Largo
Slark
SlarkChira JUNIOR
56% · 43 games51% · 134 games
Earth SpiritLarl
Earth Spirit
Techies
TechiesMalady
48% · 127 games44% · 145 games
Miranarue
Mirana
Undying
UndyingSaksa
47% · 149 games62% · 38 games
Nyx Assassinnot me
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct49:16
Team Yandex 55%Team Spirit 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 33:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerWatson
51% · 236 games51% · 196 games
TerrorbladeYatoro
Terrorblade
Pangolier
PangolierATF
45% · 228 games52% · 263 games
BatriderBatyuk
Batrider
Viper
ViperChira JUNIOR
51% · 101 game44% · 249 games
Dragon KnightLarl
Dragon Knight
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
54% · 219 games51% · 84 games
Witch Doctorrue
Witch Doctor
Techies
TechiesMalady
47% · 101 game54% · 93 games
Nyx Assassinnot me
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 58%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2