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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Bald Rebornloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Lina
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Weaver
Weaversignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
73%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 10 games
50%
Luna
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 10 games
70%
Bane
Banesignature
SsaSpartan · 9 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
SsaSpartan · 8 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 8 games
63%

Team Bald Reborn

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Pablo · 2 games
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pablo · 2 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ZipZaper · 2 games
100%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Gorgc · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ZipZaper · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
pieliedie · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
Gorgc · 1 game
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Rajjix · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
293 picks · 437 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
269 picks · 407 bans
44%
Monkey King
Monkey King
266 picks · 678 bans
60%
Bane
Bane
264 picks · 199 bans
59%
Weaver
Weaver
241 picks · 491 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
227 picks · 126 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
216 picks · 254 bans
44%
Lina
Lina
215 picks · 477 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:26
Brame 52%Team Bald Reborn 48%
The model gave 52% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 41:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNefrit
48% · 114 games42% · 66 games
Phantom AssassinGorgc
Phantom Assassin
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetW1sh-
62% · 99 games42% · 73 games
WindrangerExcalibur
Windranger
Dark Seer
Dark SeerSkyLark
53% · 66 games45% · 118 games
PangolierRajjix
Pangolier
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritCTOMAHEH1
51% · 149 games43% · 170 games
GrimstrokePablo
Grimstroke
Disruptor
DisruptorSsaSpartan
62% · 101 game52% · 102 games
WeaverEixn
Weaver
Game 2prediction missed33:26
Brame 47%Team Bald Reborn 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Brame in 42:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinker
TinkerW1sh-
53% · 22 games56% · 95 games
Wraith KingGorgc
Wraith King
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNefrit
51% · 135 games46% · 28 games
Queen of PainExcalibur
Queen of Pain
Viper
ViperSkyLark
53% · 95 games48% · 163 games
MarsRajjix
Mars
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerCTOMAHEH1
38% · 41 game52% · 82 games
Dark WillowPablo
Dark Willow
Enchantress
EnchantressSsaSpartan
52% · 167 games46% · 92 games
Elder TitanEixn
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 53%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2