Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
King Of Kingsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
289 picks · 435 bans
Tidehunter
271 picks · 403 bans
Monkey King
265 picks · 677 bans
Bane
262 picks · 196 bans
Weaver
240 picks · 486 bans
Snapfire
226 picks · 125 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 255 bans
Lina
213 picks · 477 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% beastcoast
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed54:45
beastcoast 60%King Of Kings 40%
The model gave 60% on beastcoast — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 59:45.
Game 2prediction missed39:32
beastcoast 60%King Of Kings 40%
The model gave 60% on beastcoast — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 45:52.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 60%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2