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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
paiN Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

paiN Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

PARIVISION

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 23 games
70%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
84%
Invoker
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
80%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 14 games
43%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 13 games
69%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
77%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Dukalis · 13 games
85%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 12 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
620 picks · 953 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
519 picks · 424 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 629 bans
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
435 picks · 965 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
420 picks · 535 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
414 picks · 253 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 462 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
393 picks · 529 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 61%
Hero pool strength62% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct2:31
paiN Gaming 24%PARIVISION 76%
The model gave 76% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 29:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendParker
50% · 188 games48% · 301 game
WindrangerSatanic
Windranger
Viper
ViperDarkMago
53% · 59 games48% · 79 games
TinkerNo[o]ne
Tinker
Largo
LargoFrank
47% · 25 games48% · 151 game
Dark SeerSSS
Dark Seer
Tusk
TuskScofield
49% · 414 games52% · 275 games
DisruptorDukalis
Disruptor
Ringmaster
RingmasterElmisho
51% · 308 games52% · 188 games
Marci9Class
Marci
Game 2prediction correct17:42
paiN Gaming 22%PARIVISION 78%
The model gave 78% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 39:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingParker
48% · 118 games55% · 87 games
KezSatanic
Kez
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDarkMago
47% · 271 game55% · 124 games
Primal BeastNo[o]ne
Primal Beast
Mars
MarsFrank
44% · 240 games44% · 217 games
BatriderSSS
Batrider
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinScofield
56% · 48 games56% · 59 games
Slark9Class
Slark
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageElmisho
46% · 98 games54% · 288 games
RingmasterDukalis
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 92%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2