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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Fantastic Fiveloss 1:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V-Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fantastic Five

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
jAMES · 13 games
31%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Actor · 12 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
jAMES · 11 games
64%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 8 games
25%
Mirana
Mirana
Muka · 8 games
38%
Puck
Pucksignature
Askold · 8 games
63%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Askold · 8 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
633 · 7 games
29%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
64%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 34 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 25 games
68%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 24 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Malady · 21 game
57%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 21 game
57%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 20 games
65%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Malady · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
289 picks · 432 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
272 picks · 404 bans
44%
Monkey King
Monkey King
263 picks · 675 bans
60%
Bane
Bane
259 picks · 195 bans
58%
Weaver
Weaver
237 picks · 482 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
226 picks · 124 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
214 picks · 255 bans
44%
Lina
Lina
213 picks · 479 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 65%
Hero pool strength61% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total70% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:35
Fantastic Five 39%V-Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 30:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetArk
64% · 51 game44% · 55 games
MedusaTA2000
Medusa
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMalr1ne
54% · 153 games38% · 44 games
Queen of PainhAze
Queen of Pain
42% · 36 games
Outworld Destroyerlaise
Outworld Destroyer
50% · 6 games
PudgeArrOw
Pudge
41% · 63 games
Weaverantoha
Weaver
Game 2prediction missed29:22
Fantastic Five 39%V-Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Fantastic Five in 41:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaArk
56% · 38 games39% · 15 games
Naga SirenTA2000
Naga Siren
Puck
PuckMalr1ne
59% · 70 games54% · 53 games
KunkkahAze
Kunkka
27% · 21 game
Outworld Destroyerlaise
Outworld Destroyer
55% · 7 games
PudgeArrOw
Pudge
33% · 12 games
Jakiroantoha
Jakiro
Game 3prediction correct20:35
Fantastic Five 39%V-Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 36:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerArk
41% · 19 games61% · 21 game
KunkkaTA2000
Kunkka
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
48% · 86 games55% · 42 games
BatriderhAze
Batrider
40% · 11 games
Outworld Destroyerlaise
Outworld Destroyer
29% · 3 games
PudgeArrOw
Pudge
56% · 28 games
Baneantoha
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 70%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3