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CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inner Circleloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 15 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 12 games
75%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 11 games
64%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 10 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 10 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 8 games
75%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 28 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 28 games
46%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 27 games
41%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 26 games
42%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Se · 23 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
niche · 21 game
38%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
niche · 19 games
37%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 18 games
22%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
622 picks · 951 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
518 picks · 424 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
458 picks · 628 bans
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
432 picks · 966 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
420 picks · 536 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 460 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
413 picks · 253 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 529 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 49%
Hero pool strength60% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total69% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:24
Power Rangers 59%Inner Circle 41%
The model gave 59% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 38:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sand King
Sand Kingnicky`cool
47% · 175 games60% · 74 games
Razor423
Razor
Weaver
Weavernesfeer
46% · 122 games50% · 264 games
Ember SpiritSupream^
Ember Spirit
Largo
LargoAlberkaaa
47% · 53 games51% · 75 games
Enigmalaise
Enigma
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonImmersion
52% · 255 games53% · 103 games
UndyingSe
Undying
Disruptor
DisruptorHduo
43% · 313 games51% · 402 games
TuskFernans
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct23:11
Power Rangers 61%Inner Circle 39%
The model gave 61% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 26:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunanesfeer
47% · 56 games46% · 313 games
Dragon Knight423
Dragon Knight
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightnicky`cool
52% · 106 games54% · 322 games
Centaur Warrunnerlaise
Centaur Warrunner
Slardar
SlardarAlberkaaa
49% · 341 game48% · 229 games
Queen of PainSupream^
Queen of Pain
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonImmersion
50% · 371 game59% · 161 game
ChenSe
Chen
Disruptor
DisruptorHduo
47% · 448 games47% · 297 games
HoodwinkFernans
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 69%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2