Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Undyingwin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
Wildcard Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
280 picks · 424 bans
Tidehunter
268 picks · 397 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 660 bans
Bane
245 picks · 187 bans
Weaver
233 picks · 461 bans
Void Spirit
212 picks · 257 bans
Lina
211 picks · 480 bans
Snapfire
211 picks · 114 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Undying
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:6
Team Undying 91%Wildcard Gaming 9%
The model gave 91% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 24:55.
Game 2prediction missed13:41
Team Undying 91%Wildcard Gaming 9%
The model gave 91% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 24:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 91%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2