Team Magnus vs Electronic Boys — prediction DPC2—СА · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3

result vs prediction

Team Magnuswin 2:1

series probability

71%29%

probability at match start · final 2:1

Electronic Boysloss 1:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Magnus

Sand Kingoften banned

Mark · 5 games

60%

Pangolieroften banned

txhyoo1 · 4 games

75%

Clockwerk

Chen · 3 games

67%

Lunaoften banned

Jack · 3 games

100%

Phantom Lanceroften banned

Jack · 3 games

33%

Tidehunteroften banned

Sakata Gintoki · 3 games

67%

Bane

Chen · 2 games

100%

Brewmasteroften banned

Sakata Gintoki · 2 games

50%

Electronic Boys

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Mars

275 picks · 417 bans

48%

Tidehunter

266 picks · 394 bans

44%

Monkey King

260 picks · 651 bans

60%

Bane

241 picks · 186 bans

59%

Weaver

230 picks · 452 bans

55%

Lina

212 picks · 475 bans

52%

Void Spirit

209 picks · 255 bans

46%

Lion

206 picks · 107 bans

51%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%

Hero pool strength55% Team Magnus

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total71% Team Magnus

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction missed17:41

Team Magnus 60%Electronic Boys 40%

The model gave 60% on Team Magnus — the game was taken by Electronic Boys in 32:40.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo