Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionDDisRespecTwin 1:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Hydra JRloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DisRespecT
Batrideroften banned
chambi · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
Reynauld · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Reynauld · 1 game
Spirit Breakeroften banned
SuperNova · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
chambi · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
SuperNova · 1 game
Hydra JR
Puckoften banned
hina · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
273 picks · 407 bans
Tidehunter
268 picks · 391 bans
Monkey King
259 picks · 641 bans
Bane
243 picks · 181 bans
Weaver
223 picks · 425 bans
Lina
217 picks · 474 bans
Lion
209 picks · 107 bans
Void Spirit
204 picks · 266 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Hydra JR
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% DisRespecT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:29
DisRespecT 55%Hydra JR 45%
The model gave 55% on DisRespecT — the game was taken by DisRespecT in 40:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautReynauld
Ember Spirithina
Void Spiritchambi
DoomSuperNova
Model check result
Model favoriteDisRespecT · 58%
Series resultDisRespecT 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1