Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionDDisRespecTwin 1:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Novaloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DisRespecT
Batrideroften banned
chambi · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Reynauld · 1 game
Spirit Breakeroften banned
SuperNova · 1 game
Nova
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
271 picks · 405 bans
Tidehunter
268 picks · 393 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 640 bans
Bane
243 picks · 181 bans
Weaver
222 picks · 421 bans
Lina
218 picks · 476 bans
Lion
209 picks · 109 bans
Void Spirit
207 picks · 266 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Nova
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Nova
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNova · 57%
Series resultDisRespecT 1:0
Series predictionmissed