Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
HFloss 0:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
cybercatswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HF
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Disruptor
Fezor · 1 game
Jakiro
Fezor · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Rikioften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
Silenceroften banned
Fezor · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
271 picks · 405 bans
Tidehunter
268 picks · 393 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 640 bans
Bane
243 picks · 181 bans
Weaver
222 picks · 421 bans
Lina
218 picks · 476 bans
Lion
209 picks · 109 bans
Void Spirit
207 picks · 266 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 51%
Series resultcybercats 0:1
Series predictionmissed