Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionEEnclavewin 1:0
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Hydraloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Enclave
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 9 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Askold · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 9 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 7 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 6 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 6 games
Invokersignature
Askold · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Zayac · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
271 picks · 404 bans
Tidehunter
267 picks · 393 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 640 bans
Bane
243 picks · 180 bans
Weaver
222 picks · 419 bans
Lina
219 picks · 476 bans
Lion
211 picks · 109 bans
Void Spirit
208 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength60% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 73%
Series resultEnclave 1:0
Series predictionmissed