Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
Hydra JRloss 0:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ппасекаwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra JR
No games played over 6 months.
пасека
Grimstrokeoften banned
Accell · 1 game
Linaoften banned
xannii · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Larl · 1 game
Rubick
illusion · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
Nix · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
271 picks · 404 bans
Tidehunter
266 picks · 394 bans
Monkey King
261 picks · 640 bans
Bane
243 picks · 180 bans
Weaver
222 picks · 418 bans
Lina
221 picks · 477 bans
Lion
212 picks · 109 bans
Void Spirit
207 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Hydra JR
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Hydra JR
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra JR · 59%
Series resultпасека 0:1
Series predictionmissed