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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 1:0
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 1:0
V-Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fezor · 1 game
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
100%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
100%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Fezor · 1 game
100%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 34 games
65%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 34 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 24 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 24 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Malady · 21 game
57%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 20 games
55%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 19 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Malady · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
269 picks · 401 bans
48%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
267 picks · 398 bans
46%
Monkey King
Monkey King
261 picks · 636 bans
61%
Bane
Bane
242 picks · 180 bans
60%
Lina
Lina
220 picks · 480 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
219 picks · 413 bans
57%
Lion
Lion
214 picks · 108 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
209 picks · 267 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:30
cybercats 31%V-Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by cybercats in 51:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidShigetsu
52% · 83 games42% · 58 games
LinahAze
Lina
Broodmother
BroodmotherUSHUSHUSH
53% · 35 games41% · 15 games
WeaverTA2000
Weaver
Jakiro
JakiroFezor
47% · 22 games71% · 13 games
Slardarlaise
Slardar
49% · 49 games
Shadow DemonArrOw
Shadow Demon
67% · 5 games
Undyingantoha
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 79%
Series resultcybercats 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1