Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 1:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Legion Gamingloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Silenceroften banned
Fezor · 1 game
Legion Gaming
Slardaroften banned
kur0patbI4 · 1 game
Weaveroften banned
August · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
268 picks · 401 bans
Tidehunter
268 picks · 399 bans
Monkey King
261 picks · 636 bans
Bane
242 picks · 177 bans
Lina
219 picks · 481 bans
Weaver
217 picks · 412 bans
Lion
215 picks · 108 bans
Void Spirit
210 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Legion Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Legion Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:16
cybercats 44%Legion Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Legion Gaming — the game was taken by cybercats in 39:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
RikiShigetsu
Marskur0patbI4
BatriderUSHUSHUSH
RubickAugust
DisruptorFezor
Model check result
Model favoriteLegion Gaming · 63%
Series resultcybercats 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1