Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
Legion Gamingwin 1:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DDisRespecTloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Legion Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
DisRespecT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
267 picks · 395 bans
Tidehunter
267 picks · 396 bans
Monkey King
259 picks · 633 bans
Bane
241 picks · 175 bans
Lina
218 picks · 479 bans
Lion
214 picks · 108 bans
Weaver
214 picks · 408 bans
Void Spirit
209 picks · 265 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Legion Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Legion Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:13
Legion Gaming 57%DisRespecT 43%
The model gave 57% on Legion Gaming — the game was taken by Legion Gaming in 30:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slardarkur0patbI4
Phantom AssassinReynauld
WeaverAugust
Batriderchambi
40% · 13 games
Spirit BreakerSuperNova
Model check result
Model favoriteLegion Gaming · 55%
Series resultLegion Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1