Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 1:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TTheOwlsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
No games played over 6 months.
TheOwls
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
267 picks · 395 bans
Tidehunter
267 picks · 396 bans
Monkey King
259 picks · 633 bans
Bane
241 picks · 175 bans
Lina
218 picks · 479 bans
Lion
214 picks · 108 bans
Weaver
214 picks · 408 bans
Void Spirit
209 picks · 265 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:28
cybercats 49%TheOwls 51%
The model gave 51% on TheOwls — the game was taken by cybercats in 44:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidShigetsu
BatriderGGwpLanaya
KunkkaUSHUSHUSH
MarsShergarat
SilencerFezor
DisruptorHduo
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 50%
Series resultcybercats 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1