Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs predictionLGLT GAMINGloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
RFRed flowerwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LT GAMING
Disruptor
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 1 game
Elder Titan
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 1 game
Red flower
Abaddonoften banned
sheep · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
doodle · 1 game
Dark Willow
sheep · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Spectreoften banned
doodle · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
267 picks · 386 bans
Tidehunter
267 picks · 391 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 620 bans
Bane
239 picks · 173 bans
Lina
218 picks · 470 bans
Lion
213 picks · 104 bans
Void Spirit
211 picks · 263 bans
Weaver
209 picks · 398 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% Red flower
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% LT GAMING
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:30
LT GAMING 52%Red flower 48%
The model gave 52% on LT GAMING — the game was taken by Red flower in 37:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Enchantress谢乐zzz张泽中
Drow Rangerdoodle
80% · 6 games
Night StalkerKilla
54% · 33 games
Abaddonsheep
Game 2prediction correct14:38
LT GAMING 56%Red flower 44%
The model gave 56% on LT GAMING — the game was taken by LT GAMING in 42:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteLT GAMING · 56%
Series resultRed flower 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2