Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
iG Vitalityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
iG Vitality
Clinkzoften banned
ukiyo · 4 games
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Windranger
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
267 picks · 383 bans
Tidehunter
267 picks · 388 bans
Monkey King
258 picks · 614 bans
Bane
238 picks · 173 bans
Lina
216 picks · 466 bans
Lion
213 picks · 101 bans
Void Spirit
211 picks · 260 bans
Weaver
209 picks · 389 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 19%
Hero pool strength52% Ybb Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% iG Vitality
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:22
Ybb Gaming 48%iG Vitality 52%
The model gave 52% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 28:52.
Game 2prediction correct33:17
Ybb Gaming 48%iG Vitality 52%
The model gave 52% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 24:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteiG Vitality · 52%
Series resultYbb Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2