Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
DD Gamingloss 0:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LPLegalize Potmwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DD Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Legalize Potm
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
264 picks · 377 bans
Tidehunter
264 picks · 384 bans
Monkey King
258 picks · 610 bans
Bane
232 picks · 169 bans
Lina
216 picks · 468 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 259 bans
Lion
213 picks · 101 bans
Weaver
208 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% DD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Legalize Potm
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
DD Gaming 45%Legalize Potm 55%
The model gave 55% on Legalize Potm — the game was taken by Legalize Potm.
Model check result
Model favoriteLegalize Potm · 55%
Series resultLegalize Potm 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1