Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
CHILLAXwin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Slot Seekersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Slot Seekers
Pangoliersignature
ZipZaper · 7 games
Ogre Magisignature
Flash · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
ntakii · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
ZipZaper · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
ntakii · 3 games
Bane
Flash · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Coblackk · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ntakii · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
264 picks · 375 bans
Tidehunter
262 picks · 383 bans
Monkey King
258 picks · 608 bans
Bane
231 picks · 169 bans
Lina
216 picks · 466 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 259 bans
Lion
213 picks · 101 bans
Weaver
206 picks · 377 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 70%
Hero pool strength59% Slot Seekers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Slot Seekers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:25
CHILLAX 39%Slot Seekers 61%
The model gave 61% on Slot Seekers — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 29:29.
Game 2prediction correct16:21
CHILLAX 39%Slot Seekers 61%
The model gave 61% on Slot Seekers — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 39:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteSlot Seekers · 61%
Series resultCHILLAX 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2