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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamloss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empirewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 16 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 14 games
79%
Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 14 games
71%
Lina
Linaoften banned
re1bl · 13 games
46%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Panto · 12 games
42%
Mars
Marssignature
chshrct · 12 games
67%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
58%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
yamich · 11 games
45%

Team Empire

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
sayuw · 27 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Shachlo · 20 games
55%
Lina
Linasignature
kiyotaka · 17 games
65%
Luna
Lunasignature
Smiling Knight · 15 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 14 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kaori · 12 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
VANSKOR · 12 games
58%
Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
262 picks · 385 bans
46%
Mars
Mars
260 picks · 371 bans
48%
Monkey King
Monkey King
254 picks · 607 bans
62%
Bane
Bane
226 picks · 166 bans
60%
Lina
Lina
217 picks · 466 bans
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
215 picks · 259 bans
47%
Lion
Lion
214 picks · 102 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
209 picks · 252 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Team Empire
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:28
Winstrike Team 55%Team Empire 45%
The model gave 55% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Team Empire in 44:19.
Game 2prediction missed13:18
Winstrike Team 55%Team Empire 45%
The model gave 55% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Team Empire in 25:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 55%
Series resultTeam Empire 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2