Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYwin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Euronics Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IVY
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
TheBloodySky · 3 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Lowskill · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Copy · 2 games
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
Lowskill · 2 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 2 games
Euronics Gaming
Viperoften banned
Mo13ei · 5 games
Dark Willow
Qupe · 4 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Focus · 4 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Qupe · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
Qupe · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
Focus · 3 games
Tinyoften banned
Mo13ei · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Mo13ei · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
258 picks · 365 bans
Tidehunter
258 picks · 383 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 599 bans
Bane
224 picks · 160 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 255 bans
Lina
214 picks · 462 bans
Lion
214 picks · 102 bans
Pangolier
208 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Euronics Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Euronics Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:37
IVY 48%Euronics Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Euronics Gaming — the game was taken by IVY in 46:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaCopy
Phantom AssassinFocus
Nature's ProphetLowskill
Death ProphetMo13ei
Monkey KingTheBloodySky
EarthshakerQupe
Game 2prediction missed23:14
IVY 48%Euronics Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Euronics Gaming — the game was taken by IVY in 34:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerLowskill
UrsaFocus
PugnaCopy
ViperMo13ei
Legion CommanderTheBloodySky
PudgeQupe
Model check result
Model favoriteEuronics Gaming · 53%
Series resultIVY 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2