Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fighterswin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CHILLAXloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
258 picks · 365 bans
Tidehunter
258 picks · 383 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 599 bans
Bane
224 picks · 160 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 255 bans
Lina
214 picks · 462 bans
Lion
214 picks · 102 bans
Pangolier
208 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Chicken Fighters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:8
Chicken Fighters 64%CHILLAX 36%
The model gave 64% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 26:17.
Game 2prediction missed26:33
Chicken Fighters 64%CHILLAX 36%
The model gave 64% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 35:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 64%
Series resultChicken Fighters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2