Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Euronics Gamingwin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wisla Krakowloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Euronics Gaming
Viperoften banned
Mo13ei · 5 games
Dark Willow
Qupe · 4 games
Spirit Breaker
Qupe · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
Focus · 3 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Focus · 3 games
Necrophosoften banned
Mo13ei · 2 games
Pudge
Qupe · 2 games
Rubick
Qupe · 2 games
Wisla Krakow
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
255 picks · 357 bans
Tidehunter
255 picks · 382 bans
Monkey King
253 picks · 589 bans
Bane
223 picks · 154 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 252 bans
Lion
214 picks · 100 bans
Lina
211 picks · 456 bans
Pangolier
206 picks · 255 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Euronics Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% Euronics Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:22
Euronics Gaming 54%Wisla Krakow 46%
The model gave 54% on Euronics Gaming — the game was taken by Euronics Gaming in 29:54.
Game 2prediction correct41:7
Euronics Gaming 54%Wisla Krakow 46%
The model gave 54% on Euronics Gaming — the game was taken by Euronics Gaming in 21:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteEuronics Gaming · 54%
Series resultEuronics Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2