Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — ЮВА · BO1
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 1:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TTWN-Esportloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Dark Willow
Hyde · 2 games
Elder Titan
kpii · 2 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
kpii · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 2 games
Bane
Fly · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Gabbi · 1 game
Lion
Hyde · 1 game
TWN-Esport
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tidehunter
257 picks · 385 bans
Mars
255 picks · 357 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 590 bans
Bane
224 picks · 153 bans
Void Spirit
217 picks · 253 bans
Lion
215 picks · 100 bans
Lina
212 picks · 457 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 260 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% TWN-Esport
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 72%
Series resultTalon Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect