?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empirewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Lina
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Weaver
Weaversignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
80%
Axe
Axe
SkyLark · 9 games
56%
Bane
Banesignature
SsaSpartan · 9 games
67%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 9 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 9 games
33%

Team Empire

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
sayuw · 27 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Shachlo · 19 games
53%
Lina
Linasignature
kiyotaka · 16 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 15 games
73%
Luna
Lunasignature
Smiling Knight · 14 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
VANSKOR · 13 games
62%
Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shachlo · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
256 picks · 385 bans
46%
Mars
Mars
254 picks · 356 bans
48%
Monkey King
Monkey King
254 picks · 588 bans
62%
Bane
Bane
223 picks · 153 bans
59%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
216 picks · 253 bans
46%
Lion
Lion
215 picks · 100 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
212 picks · 260 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
210 picks · 457 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Team Empire
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:35
Brame 51%Team Empire 49%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by Team Empire in 56:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerW1sh-
53% · 96 games58% · 129 games
Medusalightless
Medusa
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerNefrit
52% · 176 games48% · 207 games
Void SpiritShisui
Void Spirit
Axe
AxeSkyLark
37% · 137 games52% · 245 games
MarsGhostik
Mars
Lina
LinaCTOMAHEH1
49% · 247 games50% · 80 games
DisruptorKaori
Disruptor
Oracle
OracleSsaSpartan
44% · 157 games56% · 152 games
Snapfire[T]SA
Snapfire
Game 2prediction missed17:34
Brame 52%Team Empire 48%
The model gave 52% on Brame — the game was taken by Team Empire in 29:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerW1sh-
56% · 179 games49% · 226 games
LinaShisui
Lina
Wraith King
Wraith KingNefrit
44% · 114 games52% · 144 games
Lunalightless
Luna
Weaver
WeaverCTOMAHEH1
54% · 107 games46% · 105 games
AxeGhostik
Axe
Tidehunter
TidehunterSkyLark
45% · 233 games51% · 156 games
DisruptorKaori
Disruptor
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSsaSpartan
52% · 91 game50% · 93 games
Bane[T]SA
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 55%
Series resultTeam Empire 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2